I've predicted pretty much all along (see here, for a recent instance) that eventually the Bush administration would cut and run from Iraq for crass political reasons, and now it appears, from the evidence of this Washington Postarticle, that the decision has been made and June 30th is the official drop-dead date, come hell or high water.
In two rounds of talks at the United Nations and Washington last week, the United States told U.N. representatives that everything is on the table except the June 30 deadline for handing over power to a new Iraqi government, U.N. and U.S. officials said.
"The United States told us that as long as the timetable is respected, they are ready to listen to any suggestion," a senior U.N. official said.
They will allow nothing to disturb this timetable, because it's based not on considerations of what's right for Iraq, or even how best to achieve the administration's declared goals for that country, but entirely on what will best serve George Bush's re-election campaign. (Kevin Drum makes the argument here.) They mean to remove from consideration one of the strongest arguments that the Democrats have for making a change in government, because they know it's the kind of thing that could really gain traction with the American people, who might support incursions into foreign places, but only if they're short and relatively bloodless.
In the run-up to the war in Iraq, one thing that many proponents of the invasion were clear about (this was especially true of so-called "liberal hawks" like Ken Pollack, but was also said by "realist" proponents as well) was that if we were to achieve the goals of creating a stable, Western-friendly, relatively liberal regime in Iraq, the post-war scenario required would be long-term, on the order of 5 to 10 years. (If you add into the mix the rather absurd neo-con plan to bring full Western-style democracy to the country, then the longer period would almost certainly be required as we rushed the country through the stages necessary to set the conditions under which democracy could survive, without which we would likely be creating a Potemkin democracy.) They urged that we not take on this task unless we were willing and able to see it through to the end, and said that toppling Saddam and then cutting out before replacing him with something viable was in some ways worse than not doing anything at all.
(This subject has been a bone of contention between myself and my friends, liberals all. While most of them opposed the war unequivocally and now want us out immediately whatever the cost, my feeling is that having gone in and done what we've done, destroying the political infrastructure of that country, it's our solemn obligation to put things back together before we leave -- we broke it, so we should fix it. That's not something we should do on our own -- nor should we have gone into Iraq without true multi-national support and U.N. backing -- but it is nevertheless our responsibility to put things to right. The mess that Bush allowed post-invasion Afghanistan to turn into was one of the strongest arguments in my mind against supporting Bush's invasion of Iraq: I didn't think they were in any way capable of doing things right, which turns out to be exactly the case.)
So that's where we apparently are right now. We've taken away the glue that held Iraq together, and have provided nothing at all to replace it with, and now we're just going to walk away, turning things over to the U.N. no matter what, all so little Georgie Bush can be returned to office. Cynical manipulation wins out over ideologica necessity once again (and the neo-cons in the administration must be cringing -- I really believe that they believe all the things they said, and now they have to look on as political considerations override everything).
I have my doubts whether the U.N. is going to agree to take things over under these conditions. Without a stable security situation, going into Iraq means sending in large numbers of troops, and what country is going to agree to contribute them, given the bad feelings about United State's unilateral actions? Why should their troops bear the brunt of the Bush's mistakes? Not only that, but if they're savvy about U.S. politics, they may realize that they can play a role in eliminating an administration that's hardly friendly to them, and, in fact, seems bent on destroying the entire structure of the international security apparatus created by the Allies after World War 2. But, then again, to do that would take a cynicism as monstrous as that of Rove.
absolutist
aggresive
anti-Constitutional
anti-intellectual
arrogant
authoritarian
blame-placers
blameworthy
blinkered
buckpassers
calculating
class warriors
clueless
compassionless
con artists
conniving
conscienceless
conspiratorial
corrupt
craven
criminal
crooked
culpable
damaging
dangerous
deadly
debased
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delusional
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destructive
devious
disconnected
dishonorable
dishonest
disingenuous
disrespectful
dogmatic
doomed
fanatical
fantasists
felonious
hateful
heinous
hostile to science
hypocritical
ideologues
ignorant
immoral
incompetent
indifferent
inflexible
insensitive
insincere
irrational
isolated
kleptocratic
lacking in empathy
lacking in public spirit
liars
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oblivious
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out of control
pernicious
perverse
philistine
plutocratic
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rapacious
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unrealistic
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unsympathetic
venal
vile
virtueless
warmongers
wicked
without integrity
wrong-headed
Thanks to: Breeze, Chuck, Ivan Raikov, Kaiju, Kathy, Roger, Shirley, S.M. Dixon
recently seen
i've got a little list...
Elliott Abrams
Steven Abrams (Kansas BofE)
David Addington
Howard Fieldstead Ahmanson
Roger Ailes (FNC)
John Ashcroft
Bob Bennett
William Bennett
Joe Biden
John Bolton
Alan Bonsell (Dover BofE)
Pat Buchanan
Bill Buckingham (Dover BofE)
George W. Bush
Saxby Chambliss
Bruce Chapman (DI)
Dick Cheney
Lynne Cheney
Richard Cohen
The Coors Family
Ann Coulter
Michael Crichton
Lanny Davis
Tom DeLay
William A. Dembski
James Dobson
Leonard Downie (WaPo)
Dinesh D’Souza
Gregg Easterbrook
Jerry Falwell
Douglas Feith
Arthur Finkelstein
Bill Frist
George Gilder
Newt Gingrich
John Gibson (FNC)
Alberto Gonzalez
Rudolph Giuliani
Sean Hannity
Katherine Harris
Fred Hiatt (WaPo)
Christopher Hitchens
David Horowitz
Don Imus
James F. Inhofe
Jesse Jackson
Philip E. Johnson
Daryn Kagan
Joe Klein
Phil Kline
Ron Klink
William Kristol
Ken Lay
Joe Lieberman
Rush Limbaugh
Trent Lott
Frank Luntz
"American Fundamentalists"
by Joel Pelletier
(click on image for more info)
Chris Matthews
Mitch McConnell
Stephen C. Meyer (DI)
Judith Miller (ex-NYT)
Zell Miller
Tom Monaghan
Sun Myung Moon
Roy Moore
Dick Morris
Rupert Murdoch
Ralph Nader
John Negroponte
Grover Norquist
Robert Novak
Ted Olson
Elspeth Reeve (TNR)
Bill O'Reilly
Martin Peretz (TNR)
Richard Perle
Ramesh Ponnuru
Ralph Reed
Pat Robertson
Karl Rove
Tim Russert
Rick Santorum
Richard Mellon Scaife
Antonin Scalia
Joe Scarborough
Susan Schmidt (WaPo)
Bill Schneider
Al Sharpton
Ron Silver
John Solomon (WaPo)
Margaret Spellings
Kenneth Starr
Randall Terry
Clarence Thomas
Richard Thompson (TMLC)
Donald Trump
Richard Viguere
Donald Wildmon
Paul Wolfowitz
Bob Woodward (WaPo)
John Yoo
guest-blogging
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recent listening
influences
John Adams
Laurie Anderson
Aphex Twin
Isaac Asimov
Fred Astaire
J.G. Ballard
The Beatles
Busby Berkeley
John Cage
"Catch-22"
Raymond Chandler
Arthur C. Clarke
Elvis Costello
Richard Dawkins
Daniel C. Dennett
Philip K. Dick
Kevin Drum
Brian Eno
Fela
Firesign Theatre
Eliot Gelwan
William Gibson
Philip Glass
David Gordon
Stephen Jay Gould
Dashiell Hammett
"The Harder They Come"
Robert Heinlein
Joseph Heller
Frank Herbert
Douglas Hofstadter
Bill James
Gene Kelly
Stanley Kubrick
Jefferson Airplane
Ursula K. LeGuin
The Marx Brothers
John McPhee
Harry Partch
Michael C. Penta
Monty Python
Orbital
Michael Powell & Emeric Pressburger
"The Prisoner"
"The Red Shoes"
Steve Reich
Terry Riley
Oliver Sacks
Erik Satie
"Singin' in the Rain"
Stephen Sondheim
The Specials
Morton Subotnick
Talking Heads/David Byrne
Tangerine Dream
Hunter S. Thompson
J.R.R. Tolkien
"2001: A Space Odyssey"
Kurt Vonnegut
Yes
Bullshit, trolling, unthinking knee-jerk dogmatism and the drivel of idiots will be ruthlessly deleted and the posters banned.
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the story so far
unfutz: toiling in almost complete obscurity for almost 1500 days
If you read unfutz at least once a week, without fail, your teeth will be whiter and your love life more satisfying.
If you read it daily, I will come to your house, kiss you on the forehead, bathe your feet, and cook pancakes for you, with yummy syrup and everything.
(You might want to keep a watch on me, though, just to avoid the syrup ending up on your feet and the pancakes on your forehead.)
Finally, on a more mundane level, since I don't believe that anyone actually reads this stuff, I make this offer: I'll give five bucks to the first person who contacts me and asks for it -- and, believe me, right now five bucks might as well be five hundred, so this is no trivial offer.