Sunday, May 16, 2004
 

Escape hatch

I've written before, and I still believe it to be the case, that Kerry doesn't have to provide a detailed plan for what we should so in Iraq, that, in fact, the situation is so complex and can conceivable change so drastically before he took office that he would actually be a grave mistake to do so, since it would only give the Republicans something to hang around his neck when his plan turns out to be untenable or unsuitable, as it would most probably turn out to be. I still believe that's the case.

I've also written before, and I still think, that Democrats need to lighten up, take a chill pill, and stop beating up Kerry for not being more activist in this part of the campaign. I think that, so far, the balance that Kerry has struck between being visible and letting events play out to his benefit has been just about right, and he doesn't deserve the sense of near-panic that seems to come from some quarters of the party.

There is one thing, though, that I think the Kerry campaign should give a little more attention to, and that is providing for the people who support Bush and support the war, but who may be feeling some doubts right about now, an escape hatch, a way to allow themselves to back off of their previous commitment without forcing them to totally re-evaluate why they took that stand in the first place.

Clearly, the polls are showing that support for Bush, for his handling of the war, and for the war itself is declining, and I presume that some of the support that's left has got to be relatively soft. But backing away from one's approval is only the first step, the next step is to convince people not to vote for Bush, and the step after that is to bring them into the fold to vote for Kerry. To do that, you have to give people a way out, in order that they both save face and can make the change without having to admit to themselves that they were totally wrong to begin with.

There seems to be, amongst my fellow liberals, a certain amount of gloating about war-supporters who are now turning against Bush or the war or both. "Why should we take what you say seriously now," they ask, "when you were so completely wrong before?" Now, it's one thing to ask that question of high-profile pundits and politicians, but quite another thing to carry the same stance into a campaign in which winning the votes of as many people as possible is the ultimate goal, not being proved right, or scoring debating points. It goes back to a question I keep returning to over and over again: Is it your goal to get rid of Bush, or simply to make yourself feel better? Sometimes all we can hope for is the latter, but in this case, the stakes being so high, we really cannot afford to do anything except strive for the whole package and rid this nation of the Bush administration's mismanagement, incompetence, corruption and malfeasance for good.

Unfortunately, the way to do that isn't to shove people's faces into their mistaken positions, or to attack them as "stupid" or lacking in IQ. What possible good can it do to think of them in that way, when what they are is a precious resource that we need to do everything we can to tap?

So Kerry needs to provide a pathway for people to, slowly, at their own speed, and (apparently) at their own prompting, migrate from supporting Bush to supporting Kerry. He can't say "The war was totally and utterly wrong, a god-forsaken mistake from the very beginning, and anyone who was taken in by the phony 'evidence' that Bush provided should have their heads examined." Such a stance might be to the liking of most liberals, and may accurate reflect what we feel in our heart of hearts, but it's unlikely that anyone wavering in their support of the war is going to hear that and throw up their hands, saying "You're so right, and what a fool I've been." People just don't work that way. If they're challenged, they're most likely to dig in their heels and give the other guy the finger, in which case you've not only lost a possible vote, you've firmed up the support of the opposition.

Instead, Kerry should provide a narrative which is more along these lines: "We know that people supported the war in Iraq from the best possible motives, to remove what they saw as an eminent threat to this country, to rid Iraq of the humanitarian horror that war Saddam Hussein, and to replace his regime of terror with a stable, democratic government which would not only be better for the Iraqis, but for Americans and the rest of the world as well. Unfortunately, it's turned out that Bush lied about the evidence of the threat, and then so badly mismanaged the occupation and reconstruction of Iraq that it's unlikely that any of our goals will be met. The only thing we did right was to get rid of Saddam Hussein, but that's just not enough if we don't leave a better country behind once we leave. With so much that could have been done, if it was done right, Bush, Rumsfeld and Cheney have managed to do almost everything wrong. They don't deserve your support, and they haven't earned your loyalty with their incompetence."

I'm not saying that Kerry should literally say that, such a blatant appeal would be seen through and probably rejected, but something along those lines should be the unspoken subtext of everything Kerry says about Iraq. People who have been mislead, and lied to, and who've had their trust returned with mismanagement and rank incompetence are people who can start looking around for somewhere else to go, someone else to latch onto. By letting them know that it's not their fault that things have gone so wrong in Iraq, they can safely remove themselves from their supportive stances and reposition themselves as parties who have been unjustly harmed. That's the escape hatch they need, and which Kerry should be spending a little more time providing.

Ed Fitzgerald | 5/16/2004 01:42:00 AM | | | del.icio.us | GO: TOP OF HOME PAGE







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