Thursday, December 14, 2006
 

Slow and steady

It's easy to make fun of the fact that Bush's staff is taking its time bringing Bush up to speed on the state of the war in Iraq, but I'll tell you, if it was my job, and I had a boss with limited intellectual capacity and a blatant lack of inherent curiosity, who shows a tendency to hold on to an ideee fixe as long as possible, and who has also has a quick temper and an apparently huge lack of self-confidence, I'd probably do the same thing. If I was tasked to educate Bill Clinton, for instance, I'd lay it all out for him, the pros and cons and all the complexities, because Clinton clearly has the capacity to perceive the whole picture and pick out and give proper weight to each element, and then make a decision based on the information provided, which he would have processed quickly and completely in a short amount of time.

Bush, on the other hand, can't do that, and if you give him the whole picture all at one time, he's just going to dig his heels into the ground and refuse to accept it. He'll reject the new information because it doesn't accord with his old ideas about what's happening, so you have to begin by undermining those old perceptions and replacing them with new ones. That you do not all at once, but little by little, so that Bush can live with each new piece of the puzzle and get used to it without feeling as if the new data is threatening his worldview, and therefore his being. (This is especially true if the staff, in fear over inadvertantly trangressing ideologically-determined hard no-go lines, has been reinforcing that old worldview for years.)

Using a step-by-step process, Bush can basically sleep on each new revelation, and come to the next day's briefing with it as part of the accepted background. His lack of intellectual ability means that he won't notice that the totality of what he knows at the moment doesn't make real sense (because it's incomplete and perhaps even self-contradictory) and also that he'll rarely make a bold conceptual leap ahead of what he's being told, so there's little danger of him seeing that his previous conception is gradually being undermined and replaced with a new one. There may be moments where his anger will rise up and he'll want to know "Why wasn't I told this before?," but advisors at the Presidential level should be able to dance around that one -- at the worst, dropping a bunch of new information in advance of his preparedness to receive it should confuse and distract him.

The question of whether any of this will make any difference at all is a good one -- if you look at the public statements coming from the White House and the Pentagon about a "new way forward" and a need for tens of thousands of more troops, I rather think that it won't -- but I don't think you can fault the staff's methodology. That it comes so late in the game, that it has taken so damn long for the Administration to realize that its current policies aren't working, that's a legitimate complaint, but there is no way, given the way the Bush Administration is run, with an obvious attraction to strict authoritarian hierarchy, that staff and advisors could have done this any earlier. It was necessary for Bush to have his nose rubbed in the doo-doo sufficiently to provoke even a semblence of an openness to change, and until that happened, there was no way anyone could push Bush off his preferred pathway (unless it came from Dick Cheney, and he's such a total Neanderthal that he's probably in his undisclosed location right now, brooding about the advisability of nuking Iraq back to the Stone Age).

It's unlikely we're going to get the kind of change we need, but if there's any hope of any change at all, Bush's staff seems to be going about it the right way. (Of course, who knows what the hell they're telling him.)

Ed Fitzgerald | 12/14/2006 09:39:00 PM | | | del.icio.us | GO: TOP OF HOME PAGE







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