Dave Wissing:
Kerry 233 - Bush 305 (as of 6/24)

Chris Bowers:
Kerry 254 - Bush 284 (as of 6/25)

Leip Atlas compiled (521 user predictions):
Kerry 264 - Bush 274 (as of 6/25)

Pollkatz:
Kerry 290 - Bush 248 (as of 6/23)

Wayne in Missouri:
Kerry 254 - Bush 284 (as of 6/25)

Kevin's Marginalia:
Kerry 274 - Bush 264 (as of 6/25)

Election Projection:
Kerry 269 - Bush 269 (a tie!) (as of 6/18)

Electoral-vote.com:
Kerry 300 - Bush 238 (as of 6/25)
[Update: They updated the site. As of 6/26, they've got a tie, 269-269]

Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball:
Kerry 274 - Bush 264 (as of June)

Tradesports
Kerry 260 - Bush 273 - Unassigned 5 (as of 6/25)

I've only included predictions where every state is accounted for, which means I dropped a couple which had New Hampshire tied, and quite a few (such as Rasmussen, Charlie Cook, LA Times, DC Political Report -- links can be found on the sidebar) which don't assign a large number of states because there are no polls there which have statistically significant leads. While I understand the reluctance to assign a state based on subjective analysis or on leads inside the margin of error, this election is going to be close, and such reticence is, it seems to me, just a barrier to understanding what's going on. I'd rather see an assignment based on some clearly-explicated rationale, even if subjectivity enters into it, than a lot of pusillanimous pussyfooting, to use Spiro Agnew's (or, rather, William Safire's) immortal words. (Perhaps if I do these round-ups in the future, I'll include those in which the toss-up or unassigned states would not make a difference in who wins and loses.)

Update: I changed my mind and decided not to be such a pill, and to include those sites I left off before. Here they are:

Rasmussen:
Kerry 286 - Bush 247 - Unassigned 5 (as of 6/21)

Charlie Cook:
Kerry 228 - Bush 211 - Unassigned 99 (as of 6/16)

DC Political Report:
Kerry 195 - Bush 189 - Unassigned 154 (as of 6/25)

LA Times:
Kerry 169 - Bush 154 - Unassigned 215 (as of 6/25)

Dale's Breakdown:
Kerry 209 - Bush 259 - Unassigned 70 (as of 6/25)

Samboni's State-by-State:
Kerry 275 - Bush 259 - Unassigned 4 (as of 6/16)

2.004k.com:
Kerry 297 - Bush 237 - Unassigned 4 (as of 6/23)

These 17 websites (18 if you include mine), whose methodologies differ significantly, tell us that:

1. The election is very close: No one is predicting a run-away at this point



2. Kerry is slightly ahead: Of the 13 that predict a winner (based on the current situation), only 4 give the win to Bush

Well, I guess we already knew that, didn't we?

Oh, one addiitonal thought, which is that I'm quite surprised, given what I thought was the conservative nature of the informal methodology I'm using, to find that I'm at the high end, awarding Kerry 306 votes, more than anyone else. Perhaps I'll have to take a look at what I'm doing and make revisions.